Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 2.153612 2.464049 2.803953 3.203829 3.661543 4.169299 4.775604
2024-12-15 1.668565 2.086409 2.586062 3.228015 4.031797 5.006186 6.279161
2024-12-22 1.396609 1.857420 2.443235 3.243520 4.310259 5.686103 7.600413
2024-12-29 1.212511 1.695784 2.341628 3.269331 4.570929 6.337181 8.925190
2025-01-05 1.044082 1.524990 2.195988 3.202554 4.678819 6.772198 9.980348
2025-01-12 0.908707 1.379662 2.062546 3.127446 4.752449 7.149322 10.973437
2025-01-19 0.792354 1.246131 1.927549 3.028373 4.770048 7.433021 11.840840
2025-01-26 0.763406 1.240983 1.982120 3.219872 5.245991 8.450544 13.941997
2025-02-02 0.736803 1.235374 2.033267 3.407935 5.731119 9.524052 16.238953
2025-02-09 0.702831 1.213178 2.053884 3.545364 6.142820 10.512315 18.489263
2025-02-16 0.657799 1.167008 2.029037 3.601227 6.418052 11.292475 20.453698
2025-02-23 0.598259 1.089201 1.941988 3.538505 6.476700 11.698998 21.787977
2025-03-02 0.553285 1.033956 1.890879 3.538033 6.652711 12.340420 23.638883
2025-03-09 0.517176 0.991343 1.858324 3.568220 6.888130 13.112655 25.818405
2025-03-16 0.483107 0.948878 1.821428 3.585327 7.098163 13.853539 28.008506
2025-03-23 0.453866 0.912642 1.792438 3.613895 7.331424 14.657772 30.402678
2025-03-30 0.415670 0.854805 1.715981 3.539988 7.351091 15.040053 31.969784
2025-04-06 0.380375 0.799360 1.638954 3.456864 7.342382 15.361352 33.437124
2025-04-13 0.345917 0.742306 1.553354 3.347221 7.266335 15.534000 34.598540
2025-04-20 0.345170 0.756556 1.616245 3.559155 7.899305 17.261183 39.352560
2025-04-27 0.343446 0.768440 1.674995 3.767301 8.543485 19.071715 44.480461
2025-05-04 0.336550 0.768165 1.707326 3.919416 9.076085 20.684430 49.317861
2025-05-11 0.322675 0.750784 1.700342 3.981251 9.407138 21.871994 53.273422